Guiseley vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 3
GUI
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 4
GLO
68%
19%
12%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 3
GAI
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
FYL
0 - 0
GUI
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 0
WOR
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
COL
4 - 1
GAI
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LEA
0 - 3
COL
57%
22%
20%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
COL
0 - 5
FYL
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
HYD
2 - 4
COL
17%
21%
62%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
COL
2 - 3
BOS
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |