Guiseley vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
FYL
2 - 1
GUI
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
STO
0 - 0
GUI
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
SPE
2 - 1
GUI
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
GUI
0 - 0
FAR
57%
21%
23%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
GUI
2 - 2
BRA
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
ALF
0 - 1
BLY
61%
21%
19%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
ALF
1 - 1
HAL
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
BOS
2 - 3
ALF
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
YOR
1 - 0
ALF
50%
25%
26%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CUR
1 - 3
ALF
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |