Guingamp vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 1
LHA
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 3
GUI
20%
26%
54%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 1
CAE
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
DIJ
3 - 3
GUI
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
GUI
3 - 0
PAU
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
NIO
1 - 2
VAL
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
PAU
2 - 2
NIO
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
NIO
1 - 3
DIJ
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
TFC
2 - 0
NIO
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
NIO
1 - 1
BAS
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |