WC Qual. Africa Clasificación. Final
Global 1-2
Equatorial Guinea vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
GNQ
0 - 1
MAR
6%
21%
74%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
SLE
2 - 0
GNQ
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
GAB
4 - 0
GNQ
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
MAR
5 - 0
GNQ
90%
8%
2%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
GNQ
1 - 3
SLE
30%
26%
45%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
MRT
0 - 0
TGO
14%
21%
65%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
TGO
2 - 0
KEN
31%
27%
43%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
TGO
5 - 2
CPV
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
CPV
2 - 1
TGO
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
TGO
1 - 0
MRT
71%
18%
12%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |