Equatorial Guinea vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
50.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
LBY
2 - 3
GNQ
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
GNQ
0 - 1
TUN
12%
23%
66%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
TZA
2 - 1
GNQ
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
COG
1 - 0
GNQ
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
GNQ
2 - 2
COG
22%
24%
54%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
LBY
2 - 3
GNQ
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
LBY
2 - 1
TZA
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
TUN
4 - 1
LBY
66%
23%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
LBY
1 - 2
TUN
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
MRT
0 - 0
LBY
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |