Guillermo Brown vs San Telmo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
DAL
1 - 1
GBR
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
GBR
0 - 0
SMA
26%
28%
46%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 0
GBR
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
GBR
0 - 1
SMA
29%
28%
42%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
GBR
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Telmo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
STM
0 - 0
RAF
28%
27%
46%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
IRV
4 - 3
STM
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
LAF
0 - 2
STM
12%
22%
66%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
STM
1 - 1
BAR
40%
29%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
SUA
1 - 0
STM
42%
28%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |