Guillermo Brown vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 2
GBR
53%
25%
21%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
GBR
2 - 2
INS
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ARG
0 - 2
GBR
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
GBR
2 - 0
AND
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 0
GBR
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 1
BRO
31%
29%
40%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 1
SMA
65%
22%
13%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 2
DAL
17%
24%
59%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
CDN
3 - 0
SMA
69%
21%
10%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 2
CHA
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |