Guillermo Brown vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
EST
3 - 1
GBR
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
GBR
2 - 0
FER
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 1
GBR
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
GBR
1 - 0
IRV
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
PLA
1 - 2
GBR
49%
27%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 0
MIT
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 1
EST
52%
27%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
FER
2 - 1
CHI
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 2
ATL
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
IRV
4 - 1
CHI
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |