Guerreros de Xico vs Club Calor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
78.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
16.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.5%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guerreros de Xico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
ALE
3 - 1
GUX
89%
9%
2%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
GUX
0 - 3
CIE
16%
18%
67%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CUA
3 - 0
GUX
89%
9%
2%
|
21 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
GUX
1 - 4
LOB
13%
17%
71%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
GUX
0 - 3
HUR
20%
20%
61%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Club Calor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 1
AGU
20%
25%
54%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
HUR
0 - 4
CAL
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
ALE
2 - 1
CAL
34%
27%
40%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
4 - 0
CIE
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CUA
2 - 1
CAL
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |