Guernsey vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
49.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guernsey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
GUE
39%
23%
39%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
RAM
0 - 0
GUE
34%
22%
45%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GUE
0 - 1
HYT
49%
21%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
RED
2 - 2
GUE
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
GUE
3 - 0
SIT
65%
18%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
WOR
2 - 0
WHY
43%
24%
34%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
TOO
1 - 3
WOR
32%
23%
44%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
BUR
2 - 3
WOR
72%
18%
11%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
WOR
2 - 1
HYT
57%
20%
23%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SIT
0 - 0
WOR
21%
23%
57%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |