Guernsey vs Marlow FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guernsey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
THA
0 - 3
GUE
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
BIN
1 - 1
GUE
58%
20%
22%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
BED
3 - 1
GUE
71%
17%
13%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 1
GUE
51%
22%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
STA
2 - 8
GUE
36%
22%
42%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Marlow FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 2
BED
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 3
CHE
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
SCR
1 - 1
MAR
15%
20%
65%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 2
STA
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
SOU
5 - 0
MAR
26%
24%
50%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -3 |