Guéret vs Chatellerault analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
54.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
13º
13º
37
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guéret
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LES
3 - 1
GUE
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
GUE
4 - 1
MON
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CNF
3 - 0
GUE
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GUE
1 - 1
BAY
26%
23%
51%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
NIO
4 - 0
GUE
74%
15%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Chatellerault
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
POI
34%
25%
41%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
GDB
3 - 2
CHA
50%
24%
27%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 3
BAY
46%
24%
30%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FCP
4 - 1
CHA
48%
23%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
CHA
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |