Guelph United vs Scrosoppi FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+92%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
9º
11º
46
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 53 |
1º
|
98% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
98% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
39.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 30 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 29 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
15 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guelph United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
GUE
3 - 1
OBD
46%
25%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GUE
0 - 1
BUR
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
VAZ
3 - 1
GUE
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 1
GUE
32%
22%
47%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
VAZ
2 - 0
GUE
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Scrosoppi FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
SCR
1 - 1
WOO
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SCR
4 - 2
NTN
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
OBD
0 - 5
SCR
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SIG
0 - 2
SCR
40%
22%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SCR
2 - 4
SIM
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |