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Serie B - Ecuador. Matchday 32

Guayaquil SC vs LDU de Portoviejo analysis

Guayaquil SC LDU de Portoviejo
23 ELO 20
-47% Tilt 2%
6087º General ELO ranking 6789º
24º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
26.5%
Guayaquil SC
32.9%
Draw
40.5%
LDU de Portoviejo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
Guayaquil SC
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
18.5%
32.9%
Draw
0-0
17.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
32.9%
40.5%
Win probability
LDU de Portoviejo
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guayaquil SC
-13%
-4%
LDU de Portoviejo

Basic stats

2
1
GF
1
2
GC
23
20
ELO
0.8
1
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Guayaquil SC
Their league position
LDU de Portoviejo
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
33
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cumbayá
61
68
100%
Gualaceo
53
59
50%
CD El Nacional
53
59
50%
América Quito
44
49
44%
Chacaritas
42
47
24%
Independiente Juniors
41
46
22%
Guayaquil SC
40
45
23%
Atlético Santo Domingo
39
44
31%
LDU de Portoviejo
33
39
49%
Atlético Porteño
10º
32
37
10º
53%
Expected probabilities
Guayaquil SC
LDU de Portoviejo
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
97% 6%
Relegation
3% 94%

ELO progression

LDU de Portoviejo
LDU
Guayaquil SC
GUA
Atlético Santo Domingo
PQU
Chacaritas
CHA
Independiente Juniors
INJ
Atlético Porteño
POR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guayaquil SC
Guayaquil SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO GUA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2021
CFC
Cumbayá
1 - 0
Guayaquil SC
GUA
47%
27%
26%
290 319 29 -1
02 Sep. 2021
GUA
Guayaquil SC
0 - 0
Independiente Juniors
INJ
46%
27%
27%
290 315 -25 0
26 Aug. 2021
GUA
Guayaquil SC
0 - 2
Gualaceo
GUA
45%
27%
28%
292 290 2 -2
18 Aug. 2021
NAC
CD El Nacional
3 - 1
Guayaquil SC
GUA
51%
26%
23%
294 510 216 -2
12 Aug. 2021
GUA
Guayaquil SC
0 - 1
Atlético Santo Domingo
PQU
45%
27%
28%
295 279 16 -2

Matches

LDU de Portoviejo
LDU de Portoviejo
1%
X%
2%
ELO LDU ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2021
LDU
LDU de Portoviejo
0 - 1
Independiente Juniors
INJ
46%
27%
28%
265 315 -50 -1
01 Sep. 2021
NAC
CD El Nacional
1 - 1
LDU de Portoviejo
LDU
53%
25%
22%
265 512 247 0
25 Aug. 2021
LDU
LDU de Portoviejo
0 - 0
América Quito
AME
46%
27%
28%
265 317 -52 0
18 Aug. 2021
POR
Atlético Porteño
0 - 2
LDU de Portoviejo
LDU
47%
27%
26%
262 283 21 +2
11 Aug. 2021
CHA
Chacaritas
1 - 0
LDU de Portoviejo
LDU
47%
27%
26%
264 296 32 -1