Guastatoya vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SOL
0 - 0
GUA
28%
29%
43%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 0
CHI
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
COB
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
IZT
1 - 0
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
MUN
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 0
ANT
18%
26%
56%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
COB
2 - 0
NUE
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 2
COM
19%
26%
55%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ACH
1 - 0
NUE
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NUE
0 - 0
TOR
30%
28%
42%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |