Guastatoya vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
34.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
COB
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
SAC
2 - 1
GUA
17%
29%
54%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 2
ACH
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
MUN
2 - 1
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
DSA
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
MUN
3 - 0
SAC
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ACH
1 - 0
MUN
16%
26%
58%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MUN
5 - 0
DSA
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
MUN
2 - 1
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
COB
1 - 1
MUN
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |