Guaratinguetá vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
10%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
GUA
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
ICA
2 - 2
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAR
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
ASA
2 - 1
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 0
GOI
11%
21%
68%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 2
NAU
19%
25%
57%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAL
63%
23%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 0
DUQ
24%
27%
50%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 1
SAL
78%
16%
7%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |