Guaratinguetá vs Flamengo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
GUA
29%
26%
46%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 0
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GUA
5 - 0
MAD
31%
26%
42%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TOM
3 - 3
GUA
54%
25%
22%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
LON
23%
26%
51%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
COM
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 1
ATI
47%
25%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TUP
0 - 1
FLA
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 1
ITA
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 5
JUV
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |