Guarany de Sobral vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
4DE
0 - 2
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
IMP
45%
24%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
JCA
2 - 0
GUA
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
JCA
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
IMP
1 - 0
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 1
TOC
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
TOC
0 - 1
JCA
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
IMP
3 - 2
TOC
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
TOC
0 - 0
IMP
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
JCA
3 - 3
TOC
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |