Guarany de Sobral vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 1
GUA
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 4
CUI
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
TRE
3 - 1
GUA
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
LUV
37%
27%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
ICA
1 - 0
GUA
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
6 - 1
AGU
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
LUV
2 - 1
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 0
ICA
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CUI
0 - 0
SAN
40%
26%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |