Série D Brazil Ronda final. 1/16
Global 2-0
Guarany de Sobral vs Galvez EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
GAL
0 - 0
GUA
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 1
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
4 - 2
MOT
45%
27%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 2
GUA
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
TOC
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Galvez EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 1
GAL
31%
23%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
GAL
0 - 0
GUA
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
SFC
0 - 4
GAL
10%
14%
77%
|
32 | 10 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
GAL
1 - 5
CAS
25%
25%
51%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
GAL
0 - 0
ATL
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |