Guarany de Sobral vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
4 - 1
BAR
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
FLO
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
CEA
3 - 0
GUA
84%
13%
4%
|
40 | 75 | 35 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
FOR
7%
17%
76%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 2
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
HOR
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
FER
82%
13%
5%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
BAR
62%
20%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
FLO
2 - 1
FER
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
FER
2 - 2
COR
12%
21%
68%
|
45 | 83 | 38 | +1 |