Guarany de Sobral vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ICA
2 - 1
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 2
GUA
30%
24%
47%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
CEA
20%
25%
56%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
LIM
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 3
GUA
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
CRA
2 - 3
TIR
37%
25%
39%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
FER
2 - 1
CRA
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 2
CRA
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 5
FOR
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 0
ICA
22%
23%
55%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |