Cearense 1 Primera Fase. Jor. 4

Guarany de Sobral vs Caucaia EC analysis

Guarany de Sobral Caucaia EC
39 ELO 29
-17% Tilt -13.6%
23880º General ELO ranking 5007º
636º Country ELO ranking 188º
ELO win probability
55.9%
Guarany de Sobral
21.8%
Draw
22.3%
Caucaia EC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
Guarany de Sobral
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.3%
Win probability
Caucaia EC
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guarany de Sobral
-22%
-10%
Caucaia EC

ELO progression

Guarany de Sobral
Caucaia EC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guarany de Sobral
Guarany de Sobral
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2021
FER
Ferroviário
2 - 0
Guarany de Sobral
GUA
73%
17%
10%
40 51 11 0
17 Feb. 2021
CRA
Crato
0 - 1
Guarany de Sobral
GUA
30%
24%
45%
39 30 9 +1
10 Feb. 2021
GUA
Guarany de Sobral
0 - 0
Barbalha
BAR
48%
25%
27%
39 37 2 0
27 Nov. 2020
SAL
Salgueiro
2 - 0
Guarany de Sobral
GUA
62%
22%
15%
41 49 8 -2
22 Nov. 2020
GUA
Guarany de Sobral
0 - 0
Globo
GLO
40%
26%
34%
41 42 1 0

Matches

Caucaia EC
Caucaia EC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2021
CAU
Caucaia EC
0 - 3
Atlético Cearense
UNI
21%
22%
57%
31 44 13 0
13 Feb. 2021
CAU
Caucaia EC
2 - 0
Crato
CRA
41%
23%
36%
30 32 2 +1
10 Feb. 2021
PAC
Pacajus
0 - 0
Caucaia EC
CAU
53%
22%
25%
29 36 7 +1
15 Jul. 2020
FER
Ferroviário
0 - 0
Caucaia EC
CAU
78%
14%
8%
28 52 24 +1
13 Jul. 2020
CAU
Caucaia EC
0 - 3
Atlético Cearense
UNI
19%
21%
61%
31 44 13 -3
X