Série D Brazil Ronda final. Last 16
Global 1-4
Guarany de Sobral vs Campinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
41.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 1
GUA
59%
24%
17%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 0
GAL
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
GAL
0 - 0
GUA
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 1
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
4 - 2
MOT
45%
27%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 1
GUA
59%
24%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 1
SER
45%
27%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SER
2 - 2
CAM
45%
27%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CAM
5 - 0
CAU
73%
18%
9%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ARN
0 - 0
CAM
58%
22%
19%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |