Guarany de Sobral vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
48%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
AFO
2 - 2
GUA
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
AFO
42%
27%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
ARN
3 - 0
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 2
FLO
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAL
34%
28%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
ARN
4 - 1
ATL
71%
18%
12%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 2
ARN
26%
27%
48%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
ARN
3 - 0
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
GLO
0 - 2
ARN
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ARN
3 - 1
AFO
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |