Guaraní vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 0
GUA
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 3
LIB
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
GUA
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
RÑU
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 4
OLI
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
AME
1 - 3
OLI
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 1
AME
51%
26%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
AME
0 - 1
NAC
22%
26%
52%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
IND
1 - 1
AME
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
LQE
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |