Qualifying stages Copa Libertadores Fase 1. Final

Global 5-2

Guaraní vs Royal Pari analysis

Guaraní Royal Pari
79 ELO 65
-1.6% Tilt -2.7%
454º General ELO ranking 1831º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
66.2%
Guaraní
19.6%
Draw
14.2%
Royal Pari

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
Guaraní
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.2%
Win probability
Royal Pari
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guaraní
-10%
-5%
Royal Pari

ELO progression

Guaraní
Royal Pari
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guaraní
Guaraní
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 2021
AME
Sol de América
1 - 3
Guaraní
GUA
31%
27%
43%
79 69 10 0
25 Feb. 2021
ROY
Royal Pari
1 - 4
Guaraní
GUA
28%
25%
47%
78 66 12 +1
21 Feb. 2021
GUA
Guaraní
0 - 3
Olimpia
OLI
39%
25%
36%
79 79 0 -1
14 Feb. 2021
GUA
Guaraní
2 - 1
12 de Octubre
12O
71%
19%
10%
79 64 15 0
09 Feb. 2021
RPA
Club River Plate
1 - 4
Guaraní
GUA
21%
26%
53%
79 65 14 0

Matches

Royal Pari
Royal Pari
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2021
ROY
Royal Pari
1 - 4
Guaraní
GUA
28%
25%
47%
66 78 12 0
31 Dec. 2020
ROY
Royal Pari
3 - 0
Jorge Wilstermann
JWI
29%
27%
45%
65 75 10 +1
29 Dec. 2020
REA
Always Ready
2 - 1
Royal Pari
ROY
65%
19%
16%
65 73 8 0
27 Dec. 2020
ROY
Royal Pari
1 - 1
Real Potosí
RPO
63%
21%
17%
66 55 11 -1
24 Dec. 2020
SAC
Real Santa Cruz
2 - 4
Royal Pari
ROY
41%
26%
33%
65 60 5 +1
X