Guaraní vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
LQE
1 - 2
GUA
31%
26%
42%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 0
AME
56%
23%
20%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 1
GUA
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
12O
1 - 1
GUA
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 0
RPA
63%
22%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 0
NOB
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
LIB
3 - 1
12O
62%
22%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 2
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
RPA
1 - 3
LIB
21%
25%
54%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
NOB
1 - 3
LIB
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |