Guaraní vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
LIB
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 1
ZAM
68%
19%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 3
NAC
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
RÑU
1 - 2
GUA
20%
24%
56%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 0
GUA
26%
25%
50%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
NOV
74%
18%
8%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
3 - 2
IQU
56%
25%
20%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
5 - 0
VER
79%
17%
5%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
AMF
62%
24%
15%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VER
0 - 2
GRE
10%
20%
70%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |