Guaraní vs Deportivo Táchira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 0
12O
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 4
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
GUA
3 - 1
PET
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
AME
1 - 3
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 0
MON
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 0
TAC
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 1
ZAM
59%
22%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
EST
1 - 1
TAC
24%
25%
51%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
EST
1 - 3
TAC
33%
29%
38%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |