Guaraní vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
9.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
RPA
1 - 4
GUA
21%
26%
53%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 2
NAC
58%
23%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 2
OLI
31%
24%
46%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 1
GUA
25%
27%
48%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 3
GUA
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
12O
0 - 2
OLI
19%
22%
58%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
12O
2 - 2
RPA
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
12O
1 - 2
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
12O
2 - 1
CCP
16%
23%
61%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
AME
0 - 0
12O
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |