Guaraní vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
46.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 0
DEP
74%
17%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
GUA
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LQE
0 - 3
GUA
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAN
62%
22%
15%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
GEN
3 - 1
GUA
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
CCP
4 - 2
2DE
75%
16%
8%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CCP
2 - 0
IND
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 3
CCP
30%
26%
45%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
CCP
1 - 0
DEP
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LQE
1 - 2
CCP
28%
27%
46%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +3 |