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Série B Brazil. Matchday 1

Guaraní Vitória
44 ELO 56
-2% Tilt -1%
1564º General ELO ranking 638º
112º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
32.9%
Guaraní
27.6%
Draw
39.5%
Vitória

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
Guaraní
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.5%
Win probability
Vitória
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

Basic stats

49
51
POS
19
9
SOT
9
5
COR
1
1
GF
1
1
GC
19
13
FRK
44
56
ELO
1.1
1.3
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Guaraní
Their league position
Vitória
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
12º
6
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Náutico
15
48
7%
Operário PR
10
43
5%
Brusque
9
43
5%
Botafogo
8
41
5%
Guaraní
8
41
5%
Goiás EC
8
41
5%
Sampaio Correa FC
8
41
5%
Coritiba
7
41
5%
Vasco da Gama
7
40
5%
CRB
10º
7
40
10º
5%
Vitória
11º
6
39
11º
5%
Brasil de Pelotas
12º
5
38
16º
5%
CSA
13º
5
38
13º
5%
Remo
14º
5
39
12º
5%
Vila Nova
15º
5
38
14º
5%
Avaí
16º
4
38
15º
5%
Confiança
17º
4
37
17º
5%
Cruzeiro
18º
4
37
18º
5%
Londrina
19º
3
36
19º
6%
Ponte Preta
20º
1
34
20º
6%
Expected probabilities
Guaraní
Vitória
Champion
5% 5%
Promotion
16% 15%
Mid-table
60% 60%
Relegation
19% 20%

ELO progression

Guaraní
GUA
Vitória
VIT
Operário PR
OPE
Internacional
SCI
Vasco da Gama
VAS
Sport Recife
SPO
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guaraní
Guaraní
1%
X%
2%
ELO GUA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 May. 2021
MIR
Mirassol
0 - 0
Guaraní
GUA
44%
27%
29%
774 638 -136 0
09 May. 2021
INT
Inter de Limeira
1 - 0
Guaraní
GUA
64%
20%
16%
774 1578 804 0
06 May. 2021
PPE
Ponte Preta
3 - 1
Guaraní
GUA
63%
21%
16%
775 1555 780 0
03 May. 2021
GUA
Guaraní
2 - 1
Novorizontino
NOV
55%
24%
21%
774 402 372 0
27 Apr. 2021
SAN
Santo André
0 - 1
Guaraní
GUA
40%
28%
32%
774 515 -259 +1

Matches

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO VIT ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2021
VIT
Vitória
1 - 1
Fluminense de Feira
FLU
63%
21%
16%
1236 441 795 0
24 Apr. 2021
CEA
Ceará
2 - 0
Vitória
VIT
57%
23%
20%
1236 1726 490 -1
22 Apr. 2021
SDJ
SD Juazeirense
1 - 1
Vitória
VIT
30%
26%
44%
1236 339 -897 0
17 Apr. 2021
VIT
Vitória
2 - 1
Altos
ALT
64%
20%
16%
1236 392 844 0
15 Apr. 2021
VIT
Vitória
0 - 1
Atlanta
ADA
57%
23%
20%
1237 794 443 -1