Guaraní vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 1
GUA
37%
25%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 3
BRA
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 3
PPE
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
63%
21%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 1
GUA
29%
23%
48%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
4 - 1
SAO
29%
23%
48%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 2
LIN
64%
20%
17%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
OES
1 - 1
SAO
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 2
SAO
30%
24%
46%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 2
BOA
66%
22%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |