Guaraní vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
GUA
17%
22%
61%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
BRA
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
3 - 2
GUA
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
COR
2 - 1
GUA
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
COR
13%
28%
59%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FER
0 - 1
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
55%
26%
20%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
MIR
4 - 1
SAO
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAN
18%
26%
57%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | +1 |