Guaraní vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
41.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 0
GUA
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 0
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAO
20%
26%
55%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 2
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 2
GOI
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
COR
1 - 2
SAN
55%
25%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOT
79%
15%
5%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
INT
0 - 0
SAN
13%
24%
63%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
CUI
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
FLA
0 - 1
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |