Guaraní vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
OES
1 - 1
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
MIR
1 - 1
GUA
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAN
20%
26%
55%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
INT
0 - 4
GUA
22%
25%
52%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
ITU
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 2
FFL
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 1
NOV
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
BRA
27%
26%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
AGU
0 - 2
NOV
24%
23%
52%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |