Guaraní vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
23.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
CRI
0 - 0
GUA
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
GRE
16%
27%
57%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
GUA
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
BRU
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
GUA
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 1
CRB
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 0
NAU
49%
27%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BAH
3 - 0
NAU
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
LON
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
PPE
1 - 0
NAU
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |