Guaraní vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
OPE
2 - 5
GUA
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
MIR
0 - 0
GUA
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
INT
1 - 0
GUA
25%
26%
50%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
PPE
3 - 1
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
NAU
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 0
CSA
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
SPO
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
NAU
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |