Guaraní vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
13.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 1
GUA
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
SPO
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 0
GUA
38%
28%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
GUA
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
GUA
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CRI
1 - 1
SPO
26%
31%
43%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
CRI
1 - 0
LON
31%
29%
40%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
GOI
1 - 0
CRI
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
CRI
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 0
GLO
70%
20%
11%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |