Guaraní vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
REM
0 - 0
GUA
34%
29%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
PPE
41%
27%
31%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
CSA
1 - 1
GUA
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 3
NAU
43%
28%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
OPE
2 - 5
GUA
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
COT
1 - 0
VIT
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
COT
29%
28%
44%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
FLA
2 - 0
COT
88%
9%
3%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
COT
1 - 1
LON
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
COT
0 - 1
FLA
9%
17%
74%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |