Guaraní vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
50.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
BRA
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 1
GUA
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 3
ITU
60%
22%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
JUV
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
RFC
88%
10%
3%
|
82 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
MIR
0 - 1
COR
21%
27%
53%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
SAL
0 - 3
COR
9%
23%
68%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 1
COR
9%
23%
68%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
COR
2 - 1
PPE
65%
22%
14%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |