Guaraní A. Franco vs Olimpia San Antonio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
8 | 8 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
5 | 5 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 4 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Next phase | 100% | 0% |
| Could qualify for next round | 0% | 0% |
| Mid-table | 0% | 100% |
ELO progression
GAF
OSA
SPP
ABM
VCC
COM
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO GAF | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SPP
1 - 2
GAF
41%
27%
32%
|
387 | 241 | -146 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
GAF
1 - 1
ABM
47%
27%
26%
|
384 | 253 | 131 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
OSA
0 - 6
GAF
41%
28%
31%
|
381 | 256 | -125 | +3 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
GAF
2 - 2
VCC
47%
27%
26%
|
382 | 257 | 125 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CAP
1 - 1
GAF
41%
28%
31%
|
382 | 251 | -131 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia San Antonio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO OSA | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
OSA
2 - 1
ABM
45%
27%
28%
|
252 | 238 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
SPP
2 - 1
OSA
46%
27%
27%
|
254 | 244 | -10 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
OSA
0 - 6
GAF
41%
28%
31%
|
256 | 381 | -125 | -3 |