Guangzhou City vs Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
JIA
1 - 3
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
5 - 1
HAR
74%
17%
10%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SHA
3 - 3
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
GUI
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 4
GUA
28%
24%
49%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
YAD
1 - 1
WAR
7%
14%
79%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 0
ALB
57%
22%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
WAR
2 - 1
TAM
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
LCS
2 - 3
WAR
49%
23%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
DPM
2 - 3
WAR
47%
23%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +2 |