Guangzhou City vs Tianjin Tianhai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
HEN
2 - 0
GUA
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 3
BEI
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SHA
3 - 1
GUA
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 3
BEI
49%
23%
29%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 1
CHO
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Tianjin Tianhai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SHA
1 - 1
TIA
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
SHA
3 - 2
TIA
65%
20%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
TIA
0 - 3
CHO
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HEB
2 - 0
TIA
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
TIA
0 - 3
KAA
26%
24%
50%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |