Guangzhou City vs Henan FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
SHA
0 - 0
GUA
70%
18%
11%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 0
SHI
66%
19%
16%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 4
SHE
66%
19%
15%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
QIN
0 - 1
GUA
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 1
CHO
46%
23%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
HEN
2 - 0
QIN
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
HEN
1 - 1
GUA
17%
23%
61%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CHO
3 - 2
HEN
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
HEN
1 - 1
SHA
13%
21%
66%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
SHI
0 - 0
HEN
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |