Guangzhou City vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
50.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
WUZ
2 - 1
GUA
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
SHA
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BEI
0 - 2
GUA
25%
29%
47%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CHO
0 - 2
GUA
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
ULS
2 - 1
BEI
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
SHA
1 - 0
BEI
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BEI
2 - 3
GUI
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
TIT
0 - 1
BEI
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
SHA
4 - 3
BEI
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |