FA Cup .
Global 5-3
Guangzhou FC vs Beijing Renhe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 1
GUA
33%
26%
42%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BEI
1 - 0
GUA
35%
27%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIA
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
JIA
1 - 1
GUA
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 2
SHA
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Beijing Renhe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 1
GUA
33%
26%
42%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
DAL
0 - 3
GUI
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 1
TIT
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
HAN
1 - 1
GUI
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
GUI
4 - 2
SHA
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |