Guaireña vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
5 - 0
GSC
82%
13%
5%
|
75 | 23 | 52 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 2
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 3
NAC
39%
28%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
AME
2 - 0
GUA
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
12O
52%
27%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 4
LIB
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
CCP
1 - 0
LIB
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 2
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 2
LIB
37%
26%
38%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LIB
4 - 1
AME
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |